BB day 76

An example of how it's a virtual certainty that Paul can go all the way for the win.



‘Big Brother 19’ Live Feeds: Josh Grows Suspicious Of Paul’s Moves

Posted: 03 Sep 2017 12:30 PM PDT

Josh Martinez is suspicious of Paul on BB19

Paul Abrahamian is carefully controlling the Houseguests and it’s been so-far-so-good for his game. Frankly, it’s gotten to the point where Houseguests’ games are being stomped on in front of their eyes and they just stand there smiling at Paul.

With this having gone on for nearly the entire season it seems unlikely for anyone to stop it at this point, but in what might be the first instance of rebellion, one Houseguest is at least starting the dialogue.

Flashback to 1:43 PM BBT 9/2 Cams 1/2 on your Live Feeds. Get your Free Trial now.

Here Josh pulls Christmas in to the Lounge to share some concerns. Christmas tells him they should throw the Veto comp to Paul, but Josh has a warning for her.

Josh says if Paul wins then he’ll save “Tiger” (that’s Alex’s nickname, in case you haven’t heard it used). He goes on to explain that by doing so Paul puts the blood on their hands instead. He shows how Paul will save two Jury votes (Alex and Jason) while positioning those two against Josh and Christmas. Instead of hearing him out Christmas is quick to defend Paul, but Josh isn’t stopping.

Josh explains that he’s been watching Paul’s moves and knows what’s going on. He says Paul is working Jury votes here and prioritizing his own game over their threesome’s own needs. Josh is right, but amazingly Christmas doesn’t seem concerned.

This conversation lasts a long time as Josh runs through what’s been happening. Christmas tells Josh he needs to be careful with such anti-Paul comments because someone could be listening. It’s like “1984” has appropriately come to life here but they’re worried about one of the other Houseguests instead of their all-hearing, all-knowing overlords.

Christmas says she doesn’t like all these “ripples” in their trio’s trust and she wants to work it out. She says they need to talk with Paul, the three of them, and come to a group conclusion on what should be done with this week’s targets and eviction plans.

Well obviously Paul isn’t going to let either of them stop his plans. He did end up winning the Veto, after Alex threw it to him nonetheless, and now he’s going to save her with it. From there he’s already convinced Christmas to let him vote to keep Jason so his vote along with Alex’s vote will force a tie. He actually got Christmas to agree to this.

Yes, instead of making Paul take some of the blame for Jason’s eviction this week Paul is going to put it on the shoulders of Raven, Josh, and Christmas with her tiebreaker vote. When she asks him again to explain why they need to do all that instead of him just voting to evict Jason we get to watch Paul run circles around Christmas until she gets confused, gives up, and gives in.

Jump ahead to 3:50 AM BBT 9/3 overnight as Josh and Christmas rehash his earlier concerns. Josh is still very nervous about Paul’s plan to protect himself and put them at risk. Christmas promises Josh that Paul explained everything to her and it all makes perfect sense, so he should just trust Paul.

Christmas tells Josh that everything is going great and he can’t risk this for them. Josh eventually changes his tune and says he trusts Paul completely. He promises to keep these concerns quiet now.

Okay, so we’ve seen some rumblings from one of Paul’s closest allies (of course, they all think they are one his closest) but will it actually lead to anything? Doubtful. We’ve heard camtalks from Josh awhile back where he was catching on to Paul’s moves, but he never did anything about it then either.

Say Josh had won HoH this week, which was the backup plan for what they’d do if HoH was physical (oops), then I still don’t think we would have seen some shocking twist of Paul going up and out. Paul has his hooks in everyone’s game so deep that they fear messing up their chances by turning on him, much less by upsetting him.

Just look how in these past two rounds HGs have marched to the Block as willing pawns only to be backstabbed. Then you’ve got Christmas who is afraid for Josh to even speak words of unease against Paul. Yikes.

Do you think anyone will even have the slightest inclination to go beyond words and take action against Paul before it’s too late? Will they all only see the obvious once they’ve arrived at the Jury House?

We’re down to just over two weeks until the season finale and at this rate it just might take a fireball falling the sky to stop Paul from reaching the end and being crowned the winner of Big Brother 19.

Posted: 04 Sep 2017 09:00 AM PDT

Double Eviction Week on Big Brother 19

Big Brother 19 is about to deliver another Double Eviction with this Thursday’s live show and the Houseguests are about to be sent in to a frenzy when Julie reveals the big news and they scramble to set their rapid fire targets.

Paul, Christmas, and Josh are calling the shots this week and with Jason out the door next there are fewer threats to their chances of making it to the end. In fact, with Paul’s Veto plan Alex may be foolish enough yet again to throw this one and see her game end soon after Jason’s.

To set the ground rules here, after Jason goes there will be only three votes to evict during the second elimination of the Double Eviction night. No chance of a tiebreaker. You’ll need two votes of support to stay.

Paul is working to make sure Alex still trusts him ahead of the next turn so he can try and convince her to throw the HoH comp to him, but even then he doesn’t want to win it. Paul’s ideal scenario here would be for Alex to drop out then he could too and the HoH would go to Raven who could target Alex for him. Previously Paul had suggested either Raven or Josh could take this step for him, but given Josh’s recently voiced concerns Paul may not be willing to rely on him to follow his marching orders.

Should either Josh or Raven get HoH then I’d watch for Alex and Kevin to be nominated and Alex to go. The trick there will to see if Paul tries to throw one vote to Alex so she doesn’t realize he was solidly against her. The danger there is if someone else, like say Josh trying to mess with Paul’s perfect plan, tries to make that same move then the pawn goes and Alex stays.

If Alex is up during the DE vote then Alex goes, save for any hinky vote hijinks . But, what if Alex doesn’t fall for this plan and gets her hands on the DE HoH? Well “Petty Alex” might end up going after Kevin and Josh because she dislikes Kevin and will blame Josh for the Jason eviction, assuming she believes Paul wasn’t in on the plan. Should Josh and Kevin stay up on the Block then Kevin would probably be voted out. Christmas will want to save Josh and Raven blames Kevin for Matthew’s eviction last week.

It’s unlikely that Kevin wins HoH since winning comps hasn’t been his thing yet and no one will be actively trying to throw anything to him, unlike Paul would do with Raven who similarly can’t win her way out of a wet paper bag. But, if Kevin trips backwards in to a win then I’d watch for him to nominate Alex and Raven. He doesn’t like either and Paul would tell him to do just that as well. In that case Alex is evicted just as before.

I don’t see Paul trying to win HoH here unless there’s some sort of disaster in the comp’s execution. He doesn’t need to win this either. Paul is wholly insulated here in every direction. Even with coordinating Jason’s departure this week he’s doing it in a way to keep Alex trusting him and she’ll latch on to who she may think is her last ally.

Now Josh has been starting to act annoyed with Paul, so let’s play the what-if game there. Say Josh gets HoH and puts Paul up against either Raven or Kevin. Doesn’t matter. Josh won’t get two votes to evict Paul and he probably wouldn’t even get one. Alex, Christmas, and Kevin/Raven all see Paul as their F2/3 hope so they won’t send him out the door. Bang your head on the desk all you want, but they don’t see it.

We’ll look at these scenarios again in a few days as the Double Eviction gets closer, but I don’t expect any big shifts. Alex is the top DE target with either Raven or Kevin as the back up plan should Alex win HoH or save herself with Veto. Paul, Christmas, and Josh should be safe all the way around and as such I don’t expect any of them to depart on Thursday night.