Nominations set.

Although they never show them on the live feeds, listening to the convos afterward reveals that Daniele has nominated Brendon and Rachel to go on the block. If listening to the other players isn't convincing then reading the transcripts of Brendan and Rachel alone in the Have Not room commiserating on each others shoulder would be the clincher. Rachel thinks Brendon will be booted and she'll be left alone....oh boo-hoo, etc.

Of course tomorrow is the POV and if Brendon wins it (possible) or Rachel (much less likely) they will take themselves off the block, just one of them, they aren't playing as partners anymore, that ended yesterday with the HOH comp. Then Dani would have to nominate a new person, leaving either Brendon or Rachel on the block. The newbies would pounce on this opportunity to get rid of at least one of them, consequently B and R's distress at knowing one of them will be leaving.

Another possible scenario is that someone other than B or R wins the POV. In that case they probably wouldn't use it leaving B and R up.....unless it is Jeff or Jordan that wins the POV in which case they would almost certainly (if they stuck to their "promises" ) use it and replace B or R with a newbie and hoping they can get enough 'swing votes' to boot the newbie.

Of course there is the less likely , but not impossible, scenario that the replacement person that Dani nominates will be voted out rather than B or R. For example if she nominates Lawon or Kalia it's possible that Jeff (who dearly wants to get rid of them) could garner enough votes by next Sunday to boot the replacement, leaving the B/R pair intact. If she nominates Adam, Shelly, or Porsche as the replacement, common wisdom (mine :P ) says it's less likely that there could be enough votes rounded up to boot them.

After you watch this thing long enough and listen to all the theories you begin to develop a talent, however modest, to analyze this stuff. Two weeks ago I could never have written the above. Sometimes I scare myself....


Scroll down to 8:14 pm , Lexie's post:

http://www.bigbrotherupdates.com/postxf15410-0-45.html

Another take.....

'Big Brother 13' Spoilers: Who's Nominated in Week 4?
Friday, July 29, 2011

John Kubicek

Senior Writer, BuddyTV

If you haven't followed the live feeds and spoilers and don't know who the new HoH is on Big Brother 13 yet, then you probably aren't reading this article. If you are, then you know there's going to be a big power shift this week.

SPOILER WARNING: This article contains Big Brother 13 spoilers.

Daniele is the HoH and she nominated Brendon and Rachel.

See Photos of Adam in His Elf Costume>>

Well isn't this familiar. Rachel wins two early HoHs, thinks she's in complete control of everything, and then she and Brendon go up on the block together. It's exactly what happened last season, which means their game is every bit as bad as it was last year.

Throughout the morning, Daniele has been making deals to try and ensure her safety in the future. The biggest deal came when she assured Jeff and Jordan that they're safe if they promise not to put her up next week if either of them wins HoH. Jeff took the deal ASAP. Daniele also struck up deals of protection with most of the newbies, but it's hard to tell if they're being honest. Unless Shelly's talking to Jordan or Jeff, I assume she's lying, and Porsche is so far up Brenchel's butt I can see the top of her head every time Rachel opens her giant mouth.

I respect that Daniele is sticking to the plan and not falling for Rachel's pathetic attempts to stay safe by throwing as many people under the bus as possible (like Lawon, Kalia and Shelly). While Daniele was talking to Kalia, she finally said the one thing I've been saying all along: Rachel thinks there are only two kinds of people in the house, those who are with her and floaters.

Shelly might be the lightening rod Daniele needs, because Rachel, Brendon and Porsche are all turning against her big time, but since Jeff and Jordan like and trust Shelly, it might split up the power couples.

If I have one problem with Daniele's deal, it's about what happens if/when Rachel or Brendon wins the Power of Veto. Since she promised Jeff and Jordan they're safe, Daniele would have to put up a newbie, but there's no guarantee that the pawn wouldn't go home and all four members of the power couples would stay.

If Daniele nominates Lawon, Kalia or Adam, they'd be gone in a heartbeat. If Porsche were up, the three voting veterans would all evict her, so Daniele would need to trust that Shelly wouldn't flip to that side yet again. Her best bet in that scenario might be nominating Shelly. Jeff and Jordan adore her and I'm not sure they'd have the heart to evict her. Forcing them to choose between the veterans and Shelly would be hard, but it's possible Brenchel and Porsche could sway Jeff and Jordan to their side and send Shelly home.

No matter what, it's not a slam dunk that Brendon or Rachel will go home yet. The Power of Veto competition is going to be fierce and Team Brenchel will be in full crazy mode, provided Rachel stops crying about how mean Daniele is being. Does she seriously think that nominating them is a personal attack and not a strategic decision? Whatever, I just pray one of them is gone at the end of the week.

Pics here from last night...

http://www.buddytv.com/articles/big-brother/big-brother-13-spoilers-see-wh-41218.aspx